Navigating Advancements in Economic Forecasting Under Crisis : A Bibliometrix Analysis of Global Research Trends

Kamelia Indah Sari; Fredericho Mego Sundoro

doi:10.61132/ijema.v1i1.1059

Authors

Kamelia Indah Sari Universitas Negeri Semarang
Fredericho Mego Sundoro Universitas Negeri Semarang

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.61132/ijema.v1i1.1059

Keywords:

Bibliometrix Review, Economic Forecasting, Economic Uncertainty, Economics, Forecasting

Abstract

Economic forecasting is becoming increasingly important year after year, especially during crises such as the pandemic of COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war. Its development can be seen from the use of basic statistical models to the increasingly widespread use of machine learning technology. Economic forecasting plays an important role in helping to formulate policies and is also a reliable tool for researchers in dealing with uncertainty. Global crises, such as inflationary pressures due to the pandemic and supply chain disruptions from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, have prompted increased research in this field in an effort to anticipate economic shocks and emphasize the urgency of forecasting to prepare strategies for dealing with future uncertainty. This literature review uses the Scopus database with 2561 publications from 2020 to 2025, analyzed using R Studio with a bibliometrix approach (specifically biblioshiny) and VOSviewer to map relevant thematic connections. This analysis shows that economic forecasting is greatly influenced by market uncertainty and geopolitical factors, and at the same time influences public policy formulation and financial stability. Research contributions from Indonesia are still limited, with only 40 documents, thus emphasizing the need to strengthen economic forecasting studies in Indonesia to support monetary policy and national financial stability.

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